Deloitte Warns of Cocoa Sector Risks Amid Ghana’s Economic Challenges

Deloitte has cautioned that Ghana‘s cocoa production, a critical pillar of the nation’s economy, is likely to experience volatility due to a combination of climatic factors, crop diseases, and smuggling. 

Diseases such as cacao swollen shoot virus and black pod are expected to pose significant threats to yields, while fluctuations in global commodity prices may further impact the sector’s stability.

In its report, Deloitte highlighted broader economic challenges facing both Ghana and Nigeria in 2025, which includes persistent high inflation, mounting debt levels, currency depreciation, and restrictive monetary policies, all of which could stifle economic growth

The report noted that rising costs and interest rates across West Africa are being fueled by inflation and currency instability. The Ghanaian cedi, in particular, depreciated by over 20% against the US dollar in 2024, exacerbating economic pressures.

Despite these headwinds, Deloitte remains cautiously optimistic about Ghana’s short-to-medium-term outlook. 

Nonetheless, the country’s economy recorded a 4.7% year-on-year growth in the first quarter of 2024, driven largely by strong performance in the industrial sector. However, growth in the agriculture and services sectors lagged, reflecting ongoing structural challenges.

Ghana continues to recover from a severe debt crisis, with efforts underway to restructure its $30 billion debt portfolio. 

The Bank of Ghana’s implementation of tighter monetary policies has also contributed to a gradual reduction in inflation, while external support has provided some fiscal relief. 

Since 2023, Ghana has received $1.56 billion in disbursements from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), aiding in its economic stabilization efforts.

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